After two straight weeks of submitting my picks via twitter, this scribe felt compelled to give you more info for Week 13. Going 2-3 in Week 12 dropped my overall record to 38-31-1, with just 12 games remaining in the regular season.
Here's your Pac-12 Betting Guide for Week 12: Liking 4 underdogs and USC this week. Stanford +10, Oregon State +1.5, UCLA +21, Arizona +27 and USC -4 (per @anthonykaz4) Overall record sits at 36-28-1.— Ralphie Report (@RalphieReport) November 16, 2019
A pair of rivalry games open the 13th week of the season, while a pair of College Football Playoff hopefuls - Oregon and Utah - look to continue their dominance of the conference playing away from home. Here are my selections for the penultimate week of the 2019 Pac-12 regular season. As always, tread lightly.
Overall Record: 38-31-1
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 23
UCLA (4-6, 4-3 Pac-12) vs. 23 USC (7-4, 6-2 Pac-12)
Time, Network: 1:30pm MT, ABC
Spread: USC -13 1⁄2 (o/u 66 1⁄2 )
UCLA running back Joshua Kelley torched the Trojans for a rivalry-game record 289 yards in last season’s 34-27 win at the Rose Bowl. Don’t expect the same result this Saturday. USC freshman Kedon Slovis has been on fire of late, throwing for 838 yards and eight touchdowns in road wins over Arizona State and California the last two weeks. Now Slovis and his trio of talented wideouts face a UCLA secondary that ranks 123rd in the FBS, allowing just under 300 passing yards per game. Yes, this is the 90th edition of this crosstown-rivalry, and the last two games have been decided by seven points or less. Don’t let that sway you, take the Trojans to cover the 13 and a half points.
California (5-5, 2-5 Pac-12) vs. Stanford (4-6, 3-5 Pac-12)
Time, Network: 2:00pm MT, Pac-12 Networks
Spread: Stanford -2 (o/u 40)
The Golden Bears haven’t looked the same since quarterback Chase Garbers went down with a shoulder injury in week 5 against Arizona State. Garbers still hasn’t been cleared to play, so it looks like Justin Wilcox will turn to Devon Modster once again. Look for Stanford to take advantage of a California secondary that has looked vulnerable against the pass in recent weeks. The Golden Bears allowed over 400 yards passing to Washington State and USC. Meanwhile, Stanford’s Davis Mills is coming off a 504-yard, three touchdown performance against Washington State. The Cardinal have won the last nine in this rivalry which dates back to 1892, so look for that trend to continue Saturday. Take Stanford giving two.
#6 Oregon (9-1, 7-0 Pac-12) vs. Arizona State (5-5, 2-5 Pac-12)
Time, Network: 5:30pm MT, ABC
Spread: Oregon -13 1⁄2 (o/u 54)
Arizona State enters having lost four straight, while Oregon has won nine in a row after dropping their season-opener to Auburn. The Ducks have held six opponents to under 10 points this season. This scribe doesn’t see that happening today in Tempe, Ariz. Sun Devils signal caller Jayden Daniels - the first freshman in school history to start a season at quarterback - has looked sharp this season, throwing for 2,236-yards and 14 touchdowns to go with just two interceptions. That said, he is facing an Oregon defense that leads the nation with 17 interceptions in just 10 games. With Justin Herbert at quarterback and CJ Verdell pacing the way on the ground, the Ducks should have no problem disposing of the Sun Devils. Take Oregon giving 13 and a half.
Oregon State (5-5, 4-3 Pac-12) vs. Washington State (5-5, 2-5 Pac-12)
Time, Network: 7:00pm MT, Pac-12 Networks
Spread: Washington State -10 1⁄2 (o/u 76 1⁄2 )
Sure, Washington held Oregon State to 119 total yards last week. Call it an aberration. Expect a high-scoring affair in Pullman, Wash. Saturday, with the Beavers doing just enough to cover the 10 and a half points. Washington State’s air-raid attack should have a big day against an Oregon State defense allowing 253.4 yards per game through the air. The Beavers will counter with a stout two-pronged running game led by senior Artavis Pierce and sophomore Jermar Jefferson. Oregon State is 7-3-0 against the spread this season. After today, they should be 8-3-0.
#7 Utah (9-1, 6-1 Pac-12) vs. Arizona (4-6, 2-5 Pac-12)
Time, Network: 8:00pm MT, Fox Sports 1
Spread: Utah -23 (o/u 57 1⁄2 )
After getting smoked 37-6 last week at #6 Oregon, Arizona now hosts #7 Utah, a team with one of the best defenses in the country. The Wildcats have lost five straight games, all by double-digits. I’m not going to beat around the bush here. 23 points might seem like a lot, but Tyler Huntley and the Utes will cover against a struggling Wildcats squad.
Washington (6-4, 3-4 Pac-12) vs. Colorado (4-6, 2-5 Pac-12)
Time, Network: 8:00pm MT, ESPN
Spread: Washington -14 (o/u 53)
The 4-6 Buffaloes are going to need a miracle Saturday night to keep their bowl game hopes alive. Colorado has yet to beat Washington since joining the Pac-12, losing by an average of 28.8 points per game. Aside from a 31-point outburst against USC, the Buffaloes offense has looked anemic the last five weeks. Washington quarterback Jacob Eason has only thrown for over 300-yards in a game twice this season. Saturday night should mark the third time he does so. Colorado’s defense ranks 127th in the FBS against the pass, allowing 308.9 yards per game. My heart wants to take the Buffaloes, especially with Ralphie V making her final appearance and the number of seniors gracing Folsom Field for the final time. However my head says take the Huskies giving two touchdowns.
*Point spreads are as of Saturday, November 23 per the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook unless noted*