Last week: 2-2
Season record: 9-7
All lines according to OddsShark as of 10:00 a.m., on 10/13
South Carolina Gamecocks at Mississippi St. Bulldogs (+3)
After opening around South Carolina -5.5, the line has fallen to -3 with a large percentage of the money (almost 90%) on the Gamecocks. Mississippi State has struggled this year ,especially against the run, but is still tough at home. Connor Shaw will have to step up big on the road for USC to pull it off and I see a Bulldogs upset on Saturday
The pick - Mississippi State +3
Purdue Boilermakers (+12) at Penn St. Nittany Lions
Penn State's defense is so good and their defense so bad, that they just keep winning close games, similar to LSU last year. There's value in getting so many points, even in Happy Valley, and we will continue riding out the inept Nittany Lion offense until they prove they've turned the corner.
The pick - Purdue +12
Florida Gators (-2) at Auburn Tigers
This one started anywhere from a pick em to Auburn favored by a point, but has swung to the Gators -2. It surprised me that it went that way because like the betting public I see two blowout losses, a second or third string quarterback and a hostile road environment against an Auburn team that beat the Gamecocks in Columbia. I don't get it, but like Wake Forest last week, we're rolling with Vegas.
The pick - Florida -2
Georgia Bulldogs at Vanderbilt Commodores (+11)
This one is a classic case of the line moving in favor of the home underdog while all the public money is on the road favorite that has been hot of late. After opening at UGA -13, the spread has steadily moved towards the eleven number. Georgia wins this one, we cover.
The pick - Vanderbilt +11