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Cody Hawkins vs. Tyler Hansen - Comparing The Quarterbacks' Productivity

Watching the Oklahoma St. game at Blake Street Tavern this past Thursday night, a frantic frenzy occurred when Cody Hawkins ran out as the quarterback before anyone knew that Tyler Hansen was battling a hand injury. Then about half way through the third quarter after Cody Hawkins led the Buffs to an impressive touchdown drive that gave the Buffs the lead going into halftime, many wondered if Dan Hawkins should play the hot hand in Cody Hawkins. All of this questioning is a result of the Buffs being 103rd in the nation in total offense. But the big question is who has been more effective at quarterback this year? Bottom line, this offense has much bigger problems than who is playing at quarterback, particularly at offensive line and if they don't find something that works quick, the Nebraska defensive line led by Ndamukong Suh will make the Buffs' suffer even more this season.

More after the jump...

Star-divide

We will look at a couple of exhibits to try and get a look at the two quarterbacks the Buffs have trotted out there to lead the team in Dan Hawkins fourth year.


Passing Total Sacks
Opponent Att Comp Int Yds Avg/Att % TD Yds
Colorado St.(17-23) 40 24 1 222 5.6 60.0% 1 251
Toledo(38-54) 64 30 3 356 5.6 46.9% 4 451
Wyoming(24-0) 31 17 0 175 5.6 54.8% 0 326
West Virginia(24-35) 54 27 3 292 5.4 50.0% 2 392
Texas(14-38) 23 9 2 85 3.7 39.1% 2 127
Kansas(34-30) 25 14 1 175 7.0 56.0% 1 322
Kansas St.(6-20) 37 17 2 184 5.0 45.9% 0 244
Missouri(17-36) 36 22 1 190 5.3 61.1% 0 176
Texas A&M(35-34) 32 21 1 271 8.5 65.6% 1 437
Iowa St.(10-17) 38 18 1 258 6.8 47.4% 1 390
Oklahoma St.(28-31) 49 30 0 240 4.9 61.2% 3 253

429 229 15 2448 5.7 53.4% 15 3369 42

Passing Total Yds Sacks
Cody Hawkins - Total 239 121 11 1279 5.4 50.6% 10 1547 11
Cody Hawkins - Avg. 47.8 24.2 2.2 255.8 5.4 50.6% 2 309.4 2.2
Tyler Hansen - Total 186 108 4 1169 6.3 58.1% 5 1822 31
Tyler Hansen - Avg. 31.0 18.0 0.667 194.8 6.3 58.1% 0.8 303.7 5.2

 

You can see from the chart above, the results are a mixed bag. The equalizer for all for all of the passing statistics is the two efficiency numbers - completion percentage and yards/attempt. Cody Hawkins had a much less efficient five games compared to Tyler Hansen. Hansen averaged 0.9 yards more per attempt than Cody and completed 8.1% more of his passes when he was in the lineup (Kansas through Oklahoma State) compared to Cody Hawkins (Colorado St. through Texas). Hawkins does have more touchdowns per game (2.2 vs. 0.7) but Hansen has thrown 1.2 less interceptions a contest which is a huge improvement. You get more scores from Hawkins but you also give the opposition more chances to score.

Considering Hawkins is a third year starting junior and Tyler Hansen should still be considered a first year starting quarterback as a sophomore, Hansen's results compared to a third year player is pretty solid but more production is needed.

The 58.1% completion percentage ranks 73rd in the nation, that needs to improve. Hansen's 0.8 touchdown passes per game is not enough either.

Improvement is needed but it looks like from a passing efficiency perspective Tyler Hansen is the better choice at quarterback.

But what gets me worried is the amount of sacks Tyler Hansen has taken. Most will agree that Colorado doesn't win the Kansas game unless Tyler Hansen is at quarterback. I am a supporter of that claim as there is no way Cody Hawkins converts the multiple third downs on the touchdown scoring drive in the fourth due to all of the improvisation that Hansen needed to do. That being said, the perception Cody Hawkins is a statue back there and gets sacked much more often is false. While Tyler Hansen is a little more efficient than Hawkins, Hansen has been sacked an amazing 31 times in six games compared to Hawkins' 11 in five games. 5.2 sacks per game for Tyler Hansen! An absolute killer. The teams Hawkins played in his first five games rank a combined 53rd in the nation in sacking the quarterback. Hansen's six oppositions rank 50th. Not much of a difference there but on a per game look, Hansen is averaging three more sacks a game against.

It is hard to weigh interceptions against sacks and while Hansen's interception numbers are 1.5 lower per game, you could make the argument that 3.0 more sacks per game is probably equivalent to 1.5 interceptions since sacks are drive killers.

Bottom line, the offensive line/pass protection (whoever Denver Johnson wants to blame) play has regressed since week five by a big margin in terms of protecting the quarterback. As for the running game, the offensive line can also be blamed for being extremely poor in getting any consistency going.

When Cody Hawkins left the starting lineup after the Texas game, the Buffs' offensive rankings were as follows: 112th in rushing offense (83.4 y/g). 53rd in passing offense (226 y/g). 104th in total offense (309.4 y/g). 85th in scoring offense (23.4). 73rd in turnover margin (-.20). 89th in sacks per game (2.4 s/g).

After week 12 with Tyler Hansen at quarterback, the Buffs currently rank as follows: 113th in rushing offense (83.7 y/g). 53rd in passing offense (222.5 y/g). 108th in total offense (306.2 y/g). 91st in scoring offense (22.5). 82nd in turnover margin (-.36). 117th in sacks per game (3.9 s/g). Every statistic has come down since week five.

Not much movement on the offensive side with Hansen in the game. The Buffs are also worse in sacks given up and have turned the ball over more with Hansen in the game compared to Hawkins. As you will see below, the Buffs have fumbled 10 times with Hansen under center compared to Hawkins' stint at three. This means under Hansen, the Buffs have been more turnover prone overall than with Hawkins in the game. More sacks, more turnovers. That goes against all your intuition, I know.

The stats indicate that the Buffs have regressed offensively in production (in red zone efficiency, turnovers and sacks given up) as the season has went on, something that the coaches should be held accountable for.



1st Penalties Fum Turn Opponent
Opponent Pts Downs No. Yards Lost Overs






Win Loss
Colorado St.(17-23) 17 13 5 60 1 2 3 8
Toledo(38-54) 38 25 9 100 1 4 5 6
Wyoming(24-0) 24 21 10 86 1 1 5 6
West Virginia(24-35) 24 21 5 29 0 3 7 3
Texas(14-38) 14 11 20 140 0 2 11 0
Kansas(34-30) 34 21 8 60 2 3 5 6
Kansas St.(6-20) 6 15 8 69 2 4 6 6
Missouri(17-36) 17 14 7 45 3 4 7 4
Texas A&M(35-34) 35 24 10 94 0 1 6 5
Iowa St.(10-17) 10 21 11 110 2 3 6 6
Oklahoma St.(28-31) 28 14 7 80 1 1 9 2

247 200 100 873 13 28



1st Penalties Fum Turn Opponent
Cody Hawkins - Total 117 91 49 415 3 12 31 23
Cody Hawkins - Avg. 23.4 18.2 9.8 83 0.6 2.4 6.2 4.6
Tyler Hansen - Total 130 109 51 458 10 16 39 29
Tyler Hansen - Avg. 21.7 18.2 8.5 76.3 1.7 2.7 6.5 4.8

 

As you can see, under Hansen, the Buffs' have amazingly averaged 2.7 turnovers per game compared to 2.4 with Hawkins. You won't win many games turning the ball over more than 2 times a contest which is a concern, regardless of quarterback. At least Hansen throws less interceptions than Hawkins but overall and once again, this team continues to regress on the offensive side of the ball in other categories. Under Hawkins, the Buffs have averaged more points per game and just look at those penalties. No big change at all. Can you say more things to hold against the coaching staff?

Many of you will probably say that Cody Hawkins played against worse teams than Hansen has. I mean, Colorado State has not won a game in the Mountain West and just lost to a win-less New Mexico team giving up over 400 yards of total offense. But once again, the numbers are pretty even with Hansen's group of teams winning an average of 6.5 games compared to Hawkins 6.2 games.

So what do we conclude from this? Not a whole lot other than the production at quarterback is still not where it needs to be and that the other ten guys need to step up especially when Hansen is at quarterback. Judging from these stats, I still think Tyler Hansen's being the starting quarterback is the best choice for this team based on his better passing efficiency stats, his two wins compared to one for Cody Hawkins and his seven less interceptions. But, overall the offense hasn't churned out more yards per game under Hansen and have scored less. Regardless of who your quarterback is, if your offense ranks in the 100's in rushing offense, penalties and sacks given up, their won't be much success, even if Colt McCoy is your quarterback.  Pass protection has become worse since Hansen has taken over. The Buffs' are not going to win games, regardless of having a mobile quarterback back there if they are giving up 3 more sacks per game. The ten guys around Hansen are turning the ball over more as well which shows you as this season has continued, the Buffs' are playing worse. Their has been minimal improvement in the penalty category as well. A high number of penalties, more turnovers, more sacks as the year has gone on...paging Mike Bohn?

One thing Hansen does have help in is an upgrade at wide receiver as Markques Simas has emerged, ranking as one of the best receivers in November in the nation. More to come on Simas later in the week. Over the past three weeks, Simas has grabbed 25 passes for 353 yards and two scores. If he kept that production up over a full season, he would total 100 receptions, 1,412 yards and 8 touchdowns.

Until the offensive line is able to protect the quarterback and open up holes for the running game, this offense and it's quarterback play will struggle.

1 recs  |  Comment 7 comments |

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Nice analysis

I agree Hansen deserves a shot, I think the biggest problem is that as the pass atempts go up, so too goes up the chances of int and losing, since we aren’t running the ball. The problem is that both Hansen and Hawkins are not dominate D-I QB’s they need running games to be effective, it will be interesting to see what Clark Evans can do next year.

"Me fail english, that unpossible" - Ralph Wiggum
"Duffman is thrusting in the direction of the problem" - Duffman
"Good, bad, I'm the guy with the gun" - Ash from Army of Darkness
"H.I., you're young and you got your health, what you want with a job?" - Evelle from Raising Arizona
"It happens sometimes. People just explode. Natural causes." - Agent Rogersz from Repoman

by Broncoman on Nov 22, 2009 12:26 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

Weird

The numbers really do make the two guys look somewhat equal, but the biggest difference is Hansen’s speed, ability to make 1st downs on his own and his ability to link up with other receivers besides McKnight. I’m surprised we didn’t run the option more once Hansen got the job. One thing we can all agree on is that our offensive line stinks. It has left our qb’s completely vulnerable and has not let us establish the running game.

I am an eternal optimist for the Buffs, as I know many of us are. I feel like a couple of coaching changes (Hawkins, Johnson) will get us where we need to be. We have a lot of talent. We just can’t seem to figure out how to use them. Very excited to see Evans and some of the (hopefully) new guys get involved with the offense.

Simas is playing amazingly. That guy could be really, really fantastic. We need to establish other deep threats (Clemons? Simmons????) so that guy has the room to do his thing.

I’m rambling. Sorry.

Go Buffs. Let’s end this on a good note this Friday.

by BuffsCrock on Nov 22, 2009 12:30 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

great analysis

Your right about the difference not being that large b/t the two, but who has the upside? Hansen. Hawkins is not going to change but Hansen can improve his reads and play overall. I do like the thought of Evens getting a shot b/c every time they show him on the sideline the guy just looks like a D-1 QB.
Frankly, it all starts with the O-line. They need to play much better. We’ll see

by CleBUFFS on Nov 22, 2009 1:01 PM MST via mobile reply actions   0 recs

right on Irish

This analysis begs the question: with most everything else being equal, why not go with the younger guy who brings the intangible of mobility/escapability in the pocket?

The other question or point that comes to mind is that QB inefficiencies (in play and production) have been a constant throughout Hawk’s tenure. It would be interesting to compare the statistical rankings you note with similar stats we were seeing w/B-Jack at QB in year one.

by mam2jd on Nov 22, 2009 1:55 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

This is a very well thought out analysis...

but I can’t help thinking — who cares? I sure don’t. I did about a month ago. I, for one, think more focus should be put on the men’s basketball team as they prepare to play Gonzaga tomorrow. At least that team seems to put out a complete effort and that coach seems to know what he’s doing. Or let’s see some women’s lacrosse articles or rowing or some sh*t. Anything but more analysis about two mediocre to bad quarterbacks on a team with no promise.

by PeteDiddy on Nov 22, 2009 3:05 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

no one cares about those sports. football or bust

by Nathanael on Nov 22, 2009 5:37 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

This reinforces my perception of things

I think that the accusation by many fans that Cody is the benefactor of nepotism is crap. The truth is that we just don’t have a difference maker at QB, so Hawk started Cody, who knows the Offense best. He probably truly hoped that it would work out and Hansen could develop more under a redshirt.

But as they say in the NFL, if you have two QBs, you don’t have a QB. And the Buffs don’t. Hansen has some great running abilities, but he also has drawbacks (such as taking too much time to get rid of the ball.

I think the truth about the Buffs is that they are a very young team without a gamebreaker. Without senior players, and no out-of-this-world talent, its no surprise we are 3-8. You look at Oklahoma, which as 5-star talent and even they can’t win with Frosh and Sophs on the OL.

by Follow-Rado on Nov 22, 2009 11:27 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

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