Week 11 BlogPoll Results - The Fans Have Spoken

This week's BlogPoll results are out and Oklahoma and Texas are in a virtual tie with Florida barely ahead.  Basically this shows what we have all expected, if Oklahoma beats the Pokes on the road the South is theirs.

 

Rank Team PPB StdDev Delta
1 Alabama (55) 24.4 1.2 1
2 Florida (8) 23.2 1.1 1
3 Oklahoma (2) 23.0 1.1 2
4 Texas (8) 23.0 1.2 --
5 Southern Cal 20.4 1.1 1
6 Penn State 19.3 1.5 1
7 Texas Tech 19.0 1.6 6
8 Utah 18.3 2.5 --
9 Ohio State 15.6 1.8 2
10 Oklahoma State 15.6 1.6 --
11 Boise State 15.4 3.4 2
12 Missouri 14.1 1.9 --
13 Georgia 13.5 1.9 --
14 TCU 10.8 3.1 2
15 Cincinnati 10.2 1.9 4
16 Oregon State 10.0 1.8 2
17 Ball State 9.9 4.2 2
18 Georgia Tech 6.2 3.1 8
19 Boston College 5.4 2.2 7
20 Michigan State 5.1 2.8 6
21 Oregon 4.5 3.0 4
22 Florida State 4.4 3.1 4
23 Brigham Young 4.2 3.5 6
24 Northwestern 2.6 2.1 2
25 Mississippi 2.1 2.5 1


Also Receiving Votes: Iowa(1.3), Pittsburgh(1.3), West Virginia(0.9), California(0.4), Virginia Tech(0.2), Western Michigan(0.2), LSU(0.1), North Carolina(0.1), Miami (Florida)(0.1), Tulsa(0.1), South Carolina(0.1), Maryland(0.1), Nebraska(0.0), Rice(0.0), Connecticut(0.0),

Total Ballots: 73

Votes by blog here, votes by team here.

The BlogPoll's position on the Great Big 12 South Debate is: dude, we just don't know. Texas and Oklahoma are virtually tied at 23.0 points per ballot. And for good measure, #2 Florida edges those two schools out by 0.2 PPB. Oklahoma has the edge now, though, and takes on a much tougher opponent this weekend than Texas—it's Bedlam for Oklahoma and A&M for Texas—and controls its own destiny. Texas is basically praying for OU to lose, either now or against Missouri.

Elsewhere: mid-majors all slip, some of them despite winning, Ole Miss makes an appearance, Cincinnati cracks the top 15 just in time for Brian Kelly to bolt, and Texas Tech falls from grace.

Wack Ballot Watchdog

So: it appears the BlogPoll has very slightly gone with Oklahoma. Why? Well, not head-to-head. Definitely not head-to-head. Team Speed Kills has some sarcasm for you:

You know, I've decided that Texas-boosters who say head-to-head is a reason to rank the Longhorns above the Sooners are right. So I'm going to put Ole Miss at No. 1, because they defeated the Gators head-to-head and so are a better team, right?

Maybe I should also boost Oregon State to No. 6, ahead of Southern Cal, because they won the head-to-head match-up and are therefore the better team.

To No. 5 goes Iowa, because they beat Penn State and deserve to be ranked higher, correct?

And that guy has Texas his highest Big 12 team! This is something of a theme, even from guys going UT. Braves & Birds has Texas #1 (he's one of just two voters to do so) and spends his time bashing the idea of head-to-head, too:

Right now, just about everyone has Texas Tech as the third-ranked team in the division. The consensus is that Oklahoma and Texas are both better teams, which is a reasonable conclusion in light of the fact that the Horns and Sooners have played tougher schedules and didn't get blown out like the Red Raiders did on Saturday night. Now, assume for the moment that Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma on Saturday. Does Texas Tech jump Texas because of an Oklahoma loss? Put another way, if Texas Tech is the third-best team in a three-way tie, how can they be the best team in a two-way tie?

Okay, no head-to-head. Then what? College Game Balls goes with Oklahoma for overall resume:

I am ranking Oklahoma higher than Texas because Oklahoma played and dominated the most impressive out of conference schedule.

That's true. Oklahoma has dominating victories over Cincinnati and TCU; Texas played a nonconference schedule that was Tech-like in its lack of quality. However, that's not the whole story. I cite… well… myself, because I didn't see anyone else make this point:

I went with Texas this week because their performance in the head-to-head games seems the best (TT has a squeaker victory and a blowout loss; Texas has a solid victory that was a one-score game until six minutes left and a squeaker loss; Oklahoma has a blowout victory and a solid loss), though I can see why you might go with Oklahoma, and because a blowout of Missouri and four-point win over Oklahoma State seems more impressive than crushing TCU and Cincinnati.

It's close, though, close enough so that an Oklahoma win in Bedlam will push the Sooners to #2 (or maybe #1).

Oklahoma is currently missing two top-ten-ish teams from its schedule that Texas has beaten. It replaces one with Cincinnati and plays the other this weekend. Right now, Texas has the more impressive resume. After this weekend…

See the rest after the jump...

Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most and least disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation. Note that the standard deviation charts halt at #25 when looking for the lowest, otherwise teams that everyone agreed were terrible (say, Eastern Michigan) would all be at the top.

Most Disagreement

# Team StdDev
1 Ball State 4.2
2 Brigham Young 3.5
3 Boise State 3.4
4 Florida State 3.1
5 TCU 3.1

As per usual: mid-majors dominate here.

Ballot Math

First up are "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Numb Existence." The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.

Mr. Bold

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 Every Day Should Be Saturday Florida 3.32
2 Tomahawk Nation Florida State 3.30
3 Big Red Network Nebraska 2.63
4 CollegeGameBalls Virginia Tech 2.62
5 Eagle in Atlanta Boston College 2.59

Woooo! Uber-blog EDSBS is your wacked out Mr. Bold winner this week. I cant' really figure out why, though. Texas Tech is pretty low at #12, Georgia Tech is way high, as are FSU and West Virginia; Georgia and Michigan State are pretty low. Missouri at #20 is a big deviation. But mostly this seems like a ballot that disagrees with the poll at large everywhere by three or four spots instead of concentrating its weirdness in a few obviously goofy choices.

Other than Missouri #20. I don't get that one.

Mr. Numb Existence

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 Buffs.tv Colorado 0.83
2 Orange::44 Syracuse 0.90
3 Men of the Scarlet and Gray Ohio State 0.90
4 California Golden Blogs California 0.91
5 Michigan Sports Center Michigan 1.02

Some fresh blood in this category, as Buffs.tv picks the award up with a truly impressive average error or 0.83. Don't be alarmed, kids: Buffs.tv is not a spam site interested in selling you Buffalo doodads GUARANTEED to make your MALE BITS more SPROINGY, it's a Colorado blog with some excellent design behind it.

Next we have the Coulter/Krugman Award and the Straight Bangin' Award, which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.

The Coulter/Krugman Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 TheES Michigan State 4.93
2 ACC Football Report Florida State 4.56
3 Addicted to Quack Oregon 3.55
4 Lake The Posts Northwestern 3.42
5 Mizzourah Missouri 2.93

The CK Award saved it up all year, apparently, but, yea, its wrath against the Spartans was not to be denied. Penn State crushed MSU 49-18, and it was the spirit of Coulter/Kos itself that compelled the last insulting Pat Devlin touchdown. CK Award winners are now 3-9 against the spread.

And, of course, the guy who stored up all this malevolent rage is still at it. Michigan State is off until their bowl game; the whammy falls to the similarly persistent ACC Football Report, which has condemned Florida State. This week FSU takes on Florida.

Uh, good luck with that.

The Straight Bangin' Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 ScalpEm.com Florida State -1.44
2 SoCal Sports Hub Southern Cal -1.36
3 Saurian Sagacity Florida -1.15
4 Every Day Should Be Saturday Florida -1.15
5 My Opinion on Sports Oklahoma -1.01

Straight Bangin’ award is pretty weak this, uh, week, with no one cracking two points. Your winner is Scalp 'Em, another Florida State blog. Can victory here offset victory (or at least second-place) in the CK Award? Absolutely not. Prepare to die.

Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.

Mr. Manic-Depressive

# Blog Team   Swing
1 Fulmer's Belly Tennessee 112
2 Every Day Should Be Saturday Florida 110
3 CollegeGameBalls Virginia Tech 102
4 Mountainlair West Virginia 102
5 TheES Michigan State 102

It was inevitable that Tennessee fan who had just experienced an unexpected victory over Vanderbilt would win Mr. Manic-Depressive, isn't it? Here's the ballot: everyone goes everywhere yay.

Mr. Stubborn

# Blog Team   Swing
1 Pitt Blather Pittsburgh 52
2 Falcon Nation Bowling Green 54
3 Bleed Scarlet Rutgers 54
4 The Nittany Line Penn State 56
5 Black Heart Gold Pants Iowa 62

Mr. Stubborn goes to Pitt Blather, which left its top twelve virtually untouched except for some minor Big 12 South scrambling.

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